A review and commentary on topical matters concerning the science, economics, and governance associated with climate change developments.

By Alan Moran,

October 14, 2015

The Climate propaganda war

The alarmists are cranking up the propaganda machine ahead of the Paris end of year talkfest on climate change. 

In a neat piece of “peer reviewed” junk science, (published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences) a University of Adelaide team has assured itself of endless future public funding by finding that global warming climate change will boil the frogs and fry the fish before they reach our plates. 

The ABC (surprise!) was effusive about these findings, which were a meta-analysis of 600 studies, especially as the authors thought there was little prospect of the fish species adapting to the new warm. AFP’s headline was even more foreboding in predicting a food chain collapse.  

But wait!  PNAS also covered a story about human salmon fisheries11,500 years ago; these have apparently survived periods (the Holocene maximum 6,000 years ago and the Roman warming) when temperatures were much higher than today and fish flourished even 500 million years ago when temperatures exceeded the most hyped projections of global warming. 

All that undermines a good story replacing “We are all doomed unless we follow the saviour” by “Our hum-drum existence is assured”.  So, in fact does this story about oceanic emissions bringing a cooling effect that the climate models don’t incorporate.

And David Evans is systematically trawling through the model architecture with tentative findings that the earth is less sensitive to CO2 emissions than the models suggest. 

Setbacks to warmistas but their show goes on​

Get used to the hype, it can only increase between now and December.  Disappointing to the Obama-EU axis is a story that is the first casualty of the Paris meeting, India rejects even the draft which most people have dubbed to be too flexible to offer any real meaning.

Even though the UNFCCC is now downgrading the possibility of a treaty with teeth, countries like Australia under governments that want to take action will use whatever platitudes emerge from Paris as ammunition to further impoverish people in exchange for political favours and increased economic control.

Some governments however are having second thoughts. The early cheerleader of climate action, Denmark, has opted out of electric car subsidies that reduced prices to consumers by imposing the same 180 per cent tax on them as other cars pay.  Other Governments are oblivious to the pressures businesses face on meeting competition and see them as environmental and social providers, to be regulated into supplying services sought by politicians.  While Steve Goddard, in analysing US data, detects a same persistant direction of "corrections" that transform no trend into a warming trend that Jennifer Marohasy found for Australia.  

Adelaide does not have a monopoly on catastrophic projections.  Also in the latest PNAS is a story that oceanic inundation will leave Miami and New Orleans as a playground for the fishes that do remain. The scenario is pretty much set in stone but of course, “But strong action—the kind that would reduce carbon emissions in the year 2050 to levels that more closely resemble those seen in 1950—could make a difference.”

And we have the normal made-up data about increased tropical cyclones threatening New York.(Michael Mann is a co-author of this one so it must be ok). Cyclonic Jeremias were shredded by Jo Nova and by Chris Landsea, the world’s foremost hurricane expert.  

The propaganda is also being amplified by the prophets emerging to lecture us.  Ove Hoegh-Guldberg and the gang are to descend, with the blessing of the government, on the hapless representatives of the people in Canberra. People in Melbourne can attend a briefing financed by the raging economic success story that is the EU at RMIT on Thursday 15 October and hear people from the Green/ALP funded Climate Works, RMIT’s urban research centre and some nobody in the Victorian Government provide the good oil.

All this builds on and amplifies the alarmism already codified in the IPCC which projects 600 mm ocean rise by 2100 and 2-4 degree temperature increases in a series of models that are famously contrasted with the actual levels in this chart.

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Regulation Economics is going to the UNFCCC meeting in Paris and will be updating bi-monthly